Top 25 Strikers in the Sky Bet Championship 2014/15

First up is a simple look at the top 25 centre-forwards in the Championship last term. Sorted by the amount of goals scored, the table below includes minutes, goals/non-penalty goals, assists and key pass data. This has then been adjusted “per 90” – a concept I first saw, read about and understood from the brilliant http://www.statsbomb.com. The adjusted figures show Assists per 90, Non-penalty goals per 90, Scoring Contribution per 90 (Ap90 + NPGp90 = SCp90) and I’ve also included Key Pass per 90 – which I think is passes leading to a goalscoring opportunity. The players are filtered so only though who have played 800 minutes or more are included. Else there were a lot of skewed results.

So lets see what we’ve got.

  Player(s) Position Club Age Minutes Key Pass Assist Goals NPG Ap90 NPGp90 SCp90 KPp90
1 Ross McCormack Centre Forward Leeds United 27 4125 99 10 28 26 0.218 0.567 0.785 2.160
2 Jordan Rhodes Centre Forward Blackburn Rovers 24 4010 52 5 25 21 0.112 0.471 0.584 1.167
3 Troy Deeney Centre Forward Watford FC 25 3960 36 5 24 18 0.114 0.409 0.523 0.818
4 Lewis Grabban Centre Forward AFC Bournemouth 26 3767 41 6 22 15 0.143 0.358 0.502 0.980
5 Danny Ings Centre Forward Burnley FC 22 3527 50 7 21 20 0.179 0.510 0.689 1.276
6 Chris Martin Centre Forward Derby County 25 3775 58 10 20 16 0.238 0.381 0.620 1.383
7 David Nugent Centre Forward Leicester City 29 3579 57 12 20 11 0.302 0.277 0.578 1.433
8 Sam Vokes Centre Forward Burnley FC 24 3365 40 5 20 16 0.134 0.428 0.562 1.070
9 Charlie Austin Centre Forward Queens Park Rangers 24 2491 21 3 17 13 0.108 0.470 0.578 0.759
10 Jamie Vardy Centre Forward Leicester City 27 2897 44 10 16 16 0.311 0.497 0.808 1.367
11 Chris O’Grady Centre Forward Barnsley FC 28 3378 51 4 15 11 0.107 0.293 0.400 1.359
12 Adam Le Fondre Centre Forward Reading FC 27 2269 21 3 15 12 0.119 0.476 0.595 0.833
13 Yann Kermorgant Centre Forward Charlton/Bournemouth 32 2627 54 1 14 13 0.034 0.445 0.480 1.850
14 Leonardo Ulloa Centre Forward Brighton & Hove Albion 27 2663 35 4 14 14 0.135 0.473 0.608 1.183
15 David McGoldrick Centre Forward Ipswich Town 26 2666 27 4 14 12 0.135 0.405 0.540 0.911
16 Rudy Gestede Centre Forward Blackburn Rovers 25 1709 28 3 13 13 0.158 0.685 0.843 1.475
17 Daryl Murphy Centre Forward Ipswich Town 31 3702 44 6 13 13 0.146 0.316 0.462 1.070
18 Pavel Pogrebnyak Centre Forward Reading FC 30 3102 34 5 13 10 0.145 0.290 0.435 0.986
19 Federico Macheda Centre Forward Doncaster/Birmingham 22 2200 12 3 13 13 0.123 0.532 0.655 0.491
20 Matt Smith Centre Forward Leeds United 25 2112 25 6 12 12 0.256 0.511 0.767 1.065
21 James Vaughan Centre Forward Huddersfield Town 25 1807 13 2 10 8 0.100 0.398 0.498 0.647
22 Ishmael Miller Centre Forward Yeovil/Notts Forest 27 1561 18 0 10 9 0.000 0.519 0.519 1.038
23 Chris Brown Centre Forward Doncaster Rovers 29 3398 26 1 9 6 0.026 0.159 0.185 0.689
24 Lee Novak Centre Forward Birmingham City 25 2793 21 0 9 9 0.000 0.290 0.290 0.677
25 Chris Maguire Centre Forward Sheffield Wednesday 25 2047 58 6 8 5 0.264 0.220 0.484 2.550

Immediately, Deeney, Grabban and Nugent’s goals have decreased due to the amount of penalties they slotted home last term. I guess the fact they won so many could be an indicator of the amount of play in the final third, the attacking prowess etc etc. Either way, Nugent’s been bagging goals in the Championship for years, and even has nicked a goal for England (evident goal snatch) and is the arch nemesis of any and all Ipswich Town fans – a club he loves scoring against. His goals were vital to firing Leicester back to the top flight.

The top goalscorer, was Ross McCormack of Leeds who has since been subject of a big money move to Fulham (£11m) and had a disappointing opening game vs. Ipswich Town – suffering the anonymity of being hauled off at half-time and Magath lashing out at his lack of fitness.
McCormack is a great player, in my opinion, and deserved to be the Player of the Season ahead of Danny Ings. Ings had a great season, but McCormark single handedly lead a fragile leads team, working hard and scoring goals. 26 non-penalty goals and 10 assists show this – only Nugent finished ahead of him on 12 assists. At 27, McCormack is in his peak age for a striker and for me, can be the leader in a youthful and promising Fulham side. I like the mix of youth and experience and believe Magath can send them up if not this season, then definitely next. Once he’s at peak fitness and the team are more familiar with one and other I’m sure there will be no trouble.

Jordan Rhodes was the holder of the highest transfer fee paid in the Championship when he moved to Blackburn from Huddersfield – and has continued to be the goalscorer that many Ipswich Town fans will forever rue as the one who got away. 21 non-penalty goals and 5 assists means that he is behind McCormack in terms of non-penalty goals. I think the Key Pass stat is an interesting one as well, it gives an idea of what kind of striker a player is. So from McCormack, he made 2.16 Key Passes per 90, which can be interpreted that RM is a player who brings others into play. Rhodes’ is around 1.17 Key Passes, and might relate to Bowyer’s system of two strikers, one playing the other in and JR’s trait of being a good finisher.

Lewis Grabban moved from Bournemouth to Norwich in the close season, after being close to signing for Cardiff and scored 7 from the penalty spot. SImilar to Rhodes, his KP p90 of 0.98 might indicate he’s more of a finisher than a striker who brings others into play. This would become more clear with data to do with positioning, touches and heatmaps. Grabban was also 26, and is moving into the ‘peak years’ of a centre-forward, so this may be good business for our Canary friends.

Quick notable mention for my personal favourite, Rudy Gestede. Actually came out on top for Scoring Contribution per 90 in the division, and at 25 can develop a deadly partnership with Rhodes, especially with assist king Conway and the brilliant Cairney behind him. 13G, 3A in 27 appearances including 21 starts. Sure, he only played 10 games for the full 90 (McCormack was a monster who missed 15 minutes of the regular season by my count)
Other mentions for Charlie Austin who makes it into the top 10 in a season hampered by injury. Chris O’Grady and Adam Le Fondre have changed their shirt colours in the close season, as has Leo Ulloa for £5.5m (A tad expensive in my eyes, but Brighton can replace him with a fit Craig Mackail-Smith) McGoldrick and Murphy had solid seasons as the first choice strike pairing for Mick McCarthy and the former wonderkid Federico Macheda who has joined OGS’s revolution at Cardiff had a quietly effective season at Doncaster then Birmingham.

I’m sure there are some other points to dicuss, and by all means tweet me any ideas, pointers or questions on Twitter @Scribblr_42!

Will post a similar table for League 1 later on.

Advertisements

One comment

  1. Hi,

    You might be interested in our new range of funny sport “game tactics” designs. Striking and original designs that will appeal to all sports fans with a sense of humor.

    The designs are based on the tactics you need to enjoy watching your favorite sport at home: your favorite chair, some beer, a television and the wife or girlfriend out of the room!

    We use Zazzle.com (the world´s biggest online marketplace) to sell our designs on a whole range of gift products: t-shirts, mugs, keyrings, postcards …

    You can read about these unique and original designs in our WordPress blog: http://rwdesigning.wordpress.com/2014/08/05/our-game-tactics-are-unbeatable-2/

    Of course, there´s no obligation to look but you might something of interest for you or a gift idea for friends and family.

    Thank you,

    RW designing

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s